Posted: 1:13 pm Monday, August 25th, 2014

Predicting all four teams in Georgia (almost guaranteed) 

By Jeff Schultz

The college football season begins this week. You might’ve heard something about it. The first episode of Weekend Predictions will be online Thursday and in print (old school) Friday, and there’s still time to register for the annual “Sack Schultz” contest, where you have a chance to outpick me in a set of 15 games every game. (Hah. Just kidding. It’ll never happen. But click here for details if you want to give it a try for some fabulous prizes.) Until the games start, here are some odds and a few thoughts on the four FBS teams in the state. Regular season win projections and conference title odds are via Bovada.LV and 5Dimes.eu.

practice_richt

Mark Richt’s team has a difficult start this season. (Steven Colquitt)

GEORGIA

First game: Saturday vs. Clemson.

Over/under wins: 9.5.

SEC title odds: 5-1 (tied for second out of 14).

All SEC title odds: Alabama 8-5, Auburn 5-1, Georgia 5-1, South Carolina 5-1, LSU 13-2, Florida 12-1, Mississippi 14-1, Texas A&M 20-1, Missouri 33-1, Mississippi State 33-1, Tennessee 40-1, Arkansas 66-1, Kentucky 200-1, Vanderbilt 250-1.

Thoughts: They have the best running back in the country (Todd Gurley) and a defense that will be improved under new coordinator Jeremy Pruitt, despite the losses/defections in personnel. The season is in the first two weeks. If the Bulldogs can beat Clemson and at South Carolina, they’ll probably be favored in every game until Auburn week Nov. 15. Wise decision by Georgia to slot a bye next week, giving them an extra week before traveling to Columbia for the first conference game. The other road games are Missouri, Arkansas and Kentucky, all winnable. The problem is Georgia has a history of losing games it’s not supposed to. I’ll get into Georgia more in a column on Tuesday but here’s my early forecast: A defense better than expected and a 10-2 regular season record, good enough to win the SEC East and meet Alabama. (No prediction on that yet.) Go over on the 9.5 wins.

GEORGIA TECH

Charles-Perkins-2013-season

Paul Johnson’s Jackets should be able to top projected 6.5 wins.

First game: Saturday vs. Wofford.

Over/under wins: 6.5

ACC title odds: 25-1 (eighth out of 14).

All ACC title odds: Florida State 4-11, Clemson 10-1, Miami 10-1, Virginia Tech 10-1, North Carolina 12-1, Louisville 15-1, Duke 20-1, Georgia Tech 25-1, Pittsburgh 50-1, Syracuse 66-1, Virginia 66-1, North Carolina State 75-1, Boston College 200-1, Wake Forest 200-1).

Thoughts: If the Jackets don’t win their first three games (Wofford, at Tulane, Georgia Southern), something will be wrong. The real test comes after that: at Virginia Tech, Miami, Duke, at North Carolina, at Pittsburgh. It says here Tech goes no better than 3-2 in that stretch, maybe 2-3. A lot of folks made a big deal about once celebrated quarterback recruit Vad Lee’s decision to transfer but the reality is that he just wasn’t very good. Justin Thomas is a better fit for the option. Defensively, I suspect Tech will be better than people think and the offense won’t sputter as much. Early projection: 8-4. Go over.

GEORGIA STATE

Good news: Trent Miles' team won't go winless this season. (Hyosub Shin)

Good news: Trent Miles’ team won’t go winless this season. (Hyosub Shin)

First game: Wednesday vs. Abilene Christian.

Over/under wins: 2.5.

Sun Belt title odds: 250-1 (11th out of 11).

All Sun Belt title odds: Louisiana-Lafayette 2-3, South Alabama 9-2, Arkansas State 6-1, Louisiana-Monroe 15-2, Troy 14-1, Texas State 35-1, Georgia Southern 55-1, Idaho 75-1, Appalachian State 100-1, New Mexico State 150-1, Georgia State 250-1.

Thoughts: The Panthers’ record total has declined in each of its first four seasons — 6-5, 3-8, 1-10, 0-12 – primarily because it has slowly weeded out playing club teams from the bar down the street. Also, they’re not very good. But coach Trent Miles seems to know what he’s doing and it says something that the team competed better as the season went on last season. Success this season depends on … well, everything, but particularly cutting down on turnovers and better play at quarterback from Nick Arbuckle, a junior college transfer. Georgia State needs to take advantage of a soft start in their schedule: Abilene Christian (FCS) and New Mexico State (2-10 last season), Air Force (2-10). Can I pick 2.5 wins? Sorry, I can’t push myself to 3. Prediction: 2-10 (go under).

GEORGIA SOUTHERN

Willie Fritz is the new coach at Georgia Southern. (Richard Burkhart, Savannah Morning News)

Willie Fritz is the new coach at Georgia Southern. (Richard Burkhart, Savannah Morning News)

First game: Saturday at North Carolina State.

Over/under wins: 4.5.

Sun Belt title odds: 55-1.

All Sun Belt title odds: Above.

Thoughts: Georgia State and Georgia Southern obviously don’t draw the attention of UGA or Tech but it’s kind of cool there are two state teams in the same Division 1 conference. The Eagles are new to the Sun Belt (and FBS) but they have something the Panthers don’t have: a resume. They won six FCS national championships and – not that Will Muschamp needs to be reminded — last year they upset Florida, in Gainesville, 26-20. Expect Georgia Southern to throw the ball more than in the past under new coach Willie Fritz. Game 1 in Raleigh could be interesting. Prediction: 6-6. Go over.

Recapping the regular season records: Georgia 10-2, Georgia Tech 8-4, Georgia State 2-10, Georgia Southern 6-6.

Disagree? Agree? The cyber-floor if now yours.

 Some recent ramblings (free links)
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273 comments
Adamsran
Adamsran

Clemson and Georgia look pretty even.


No doubt that home field advantage was the difference in the game.  This one will either be close or UGA runs away with it (literally) in the 2nd half.  I think Georgia is a 9-3, maybe 10-2 team.  South Carolina and Florida are the two that worry me the most.  Florida will be MUCH BETTER this year.  I think Auburn is talented, but over-rated.  The ball bounced their way an awful lot last year.  Usually doesn't happen two years in a row and they have their own 'up and down' history to contend with.


Tech.  Really believe this is the make or break year for CPJ.  If he turns in a 6-6 or 7-5, that might be it for him.  Believe it or not, I think their biggest game is Georgia Southern.  If Southern beats them, then I think their season goes South in a hurry.  If they beat Southern, they have the opportunity to be 3-0 before the schedule get's real and then 'who knows'.  I think there are 5 more wins in there.  Tech  8-4.  But I'm not sure if there will be a quality win in those 8.  If CPJ can ride through this year, next year's class brings hope.  Critical year for the Jackets.

grh0317
grh0317

Dogs will go down to Clemson. It will matter little where the game

is played. Clemson 28 Dogs 14 sounds about right.

MoistDawg
MoistDawg

anything less then a chrystal football will be failure this is what is expected when your a bulldawg  you techies wouldnt understand

SlawDawg
SlawDawg

Schultz = UGA Homer


Pandering to the mindless minions.

JonathanRoss
JonathanRoss

Georgia fans cant read rankings  no surprise! How is a 9 USC beating a 12 UGA an upset?

leefrommeeks
leefrommeeks

Same old stuff UGA wins them all and the NC...every year until they kick it off.

OH-IO
OH-IO

dogs have had more Dream Teams than SEC! SEC! Championships in the past 9 years. 

GATiger
GATiger

Gurley might be the best back if he demonstrates he can stay on the field for an entire season. As for the defense, I have no idea of the data you're using to arrive at your prediction that they'll be better than expected. They've lost key players from a secondary that was porous last year. So I'm assuming you think a new DC is going to compensate. I conclude the defense is no better until they show that the are and Mason plays like a first year QB until he shows he's not.

Southern Scott
Southern Scott

Keep ignoring South Carolina, as the Peach State is known to do.  That's fine... just rest easy 'Dawg nation.  They are nothing but a bunch of foul Gamecocks.  Nothing to worry about.  That 2nd UGA game of the year at Williams-Brice will just be a casual walk in the park.  So just assume you will win the SEC East -- and always think of USC as that pesky red-headed SEC stepchild from across the river that poses no real threat.  It's not like they've won 11 games over the past 3 seasons or anything like that.  Rest easy Georgia... just sleep, sleep, sleep on South Carolina.  You are the mighty Bulldogs after all...


ALSO :o  ...Georgia Southern will surprisingly win 7 or more games to kick off their inaugural season as a(n) FBS team.  Watch out Tech, and watch out everybody else on their schedule. NC State better be ready this Saturday.


Therefore, the Palmetto and Peach State teams with 'South' in their name are worthy of your concern -- whoever you may be.

OH-IO
OH-IO

dog in lex,


Written a check for your IPF?


Written a check to replace the Schmeg?

OH-IO
OH-IO

Year 34 of the dogs winning the National Championship


And then..........

JaySly
JaySly

SEC West:  Alabama, LSU, Auburn, Texas A&M, Ole Miss, Miss State, Arkansas

SEC East:  Georgia, SC, Missouri, Florida, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Kentucky


Bet the house!

THEBuckeyes1
THEBuckeyes1

oh-io (AKA TheBuckeye) I am so glad we are together again!  We can play on UGA blogs all day, every day, like we love to do!  Sucks that we still have no job, woman, or life, but at least we have each other!  Can't wait to watch our buckeyes together go 12-0 and beat an SEC team in a bowl game!  

OH-IO
OH-IO

Ohio Population - 11.6M


Georgia Population - 9.6M


Columbus, Ga., Albany, Macon Tifton and Valdosta just aren't the draw they used to be. 

THEBuckeyes1
THEBuckeyes1

UGA will SUCK this year, right THEBuckeye (oh-io)?  Probably 1-11 right?  We OWN it all!  

THEBuckeyes1
THEBuckeyes1

Say it ain't so!  This will never happen again to THE Buckeyes!  We will still be the 2014 National Champions!  Can't wait to run the table!


10. Ohio State will lose to another SEC team: The loss of quarterback Braxton Miller might have spoiled the Buckeyes' playoff hopes, but they'll find a way to meet an SEC team during the postseason and continue their time-honored tradition of losing to the SEC. Come January, the Buckeyes will be 0-11 against the SEC in bowl games.

HotDawg
HotDawg

Slaw, Speaking about mindless. You are a troll on blogs. Nothing more mindless and moronic. You're too stupid to realize.

JaySly
JaySly

@Southern Scott even if sc upsets uga, sc will lose 2 more sec games--spurrier always chokes away a couple against lightweight teams.  Dogs---East champions!!!

Grant1296
Grant1296

@Southern Scott Why would anyone ignore the mighty game hens Scott???

Who could ignore a team with such an awsome reseme in the SEC???

Everyone in the country should fear the chickens...

PigIron
PigIron

@JaySly

SEC West:  Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Ole Miss, Miss State, Texas A&M, Arkansas

SEC East:  South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Missouri, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Kentucky


BOOK IT !!! ;-)

DawgGoneIt
DawgGoneIt

@JaySly I think Auburn finishes ahead of LSU though. Ole Miss might as well. Don't sleep on Ole Miss. They're gonna be good. I think in the East you have it just about right. Although I might put Florida ahead of Missouri

DawgGoneIt
DawgGoneIt

@JaySly This time UGA beats Bama though in the SEC title game. UGA has what it takes. All the talent in the world and now we'll finally have a defense.

THEBuckeyes1
THEBuckeyes1

@OH-IO That was awesome!  This guy sure knows his population!  Can we get an "SEC Least!" please?  Why?  Because we OWN the SEC!  12-0 this year baby!

DawgGoneIt
DawgGoneIt

@OH-IO Who gives a damn? Nobody but you. I hope we find a way to meet Ohio State somehow in the postseason. No matter what bowl it is because I would love to slaughter that weak big 10 team again

DawgGoneIt
DawgGoneIt

@THEBuckeyes1 0-11 vs. the SEC? No wonder he trolls the SEC. I just wonder why he picked UGA? Hmmmmm fishy.

DawgNole
DawgNole

@Flacons_go_2-14

Shut up, jerk. You're not even supposed to be posting after you said you never would again if the Falcons didn't draft Manziel.

Southern Scott
Southern Scott

@JaySly @Southern Scott Grant, I was being facetious.

Jay Sly, we'll see.  Let's not talk about choking.  UGA had the world in their hands last season after plowing up the middle with Gurley and schooling our untested LB's -- and then they "COUGHED" it up by the end of the year.  yeah, I know the 'Dawgs got bit by the injury bug, but so does every team every season (see: GSU v. Florida -- where BOTH schools were riddled with injury.  Southern was horribly devastated by injuries at season's end -- but everyone talked about UF and how banged up they were because they are high profile.  Eagles still came out on top)  All I'm saying is that by the time Mizzou played Texas A&M at the end of the year, it was down to us and Mizzou for the East.  Your precious Bulldogs were officially out of the picture.  ...so the same can be said about M.R. from time to time.  Everybody has letdowns.  By the way, the last 'lightweight' we have choked against was UT last year -- because they were less talented (not because they are a traditional lightweight).  Can't remember the last true lightweight that the HBC lost to.  UK in 2010?  ....still, an SEC school.  How 'bout you guys and Vanderbilt (who is basically on equal footing w/UK)?  ouch. 

GTBob
GTBob

@DawgGoneIt You are putting an awful lot of pressure on a DC with one year of experience to completely turn around a pretty bad defense in just one season don't you think?

JaySly
JaySly

@DawgGoneIt @JaySly I think auburn was a flash in the pan last year, with 2-3 fluke, miracle wins -- SEC defenses will figure out their no huddle offense this year

OH-IO
OH-IO

@DawgGoneIt 

You give a damn enough to give up a mythical national championship. But hey, the real season starts this week and your perennial off-season national championship is OVA. 

drew56
drew56

@DawgNole @Flacons_go_2-14 

DawgNole...you do realize you come off like a little school girl, right?

In a little girls whiny voice: "He said he'd never post again...he's not supposed be posting!  I am SOO angry (stomps foot)!!"

Get over it and enjoy the Dawgs' perfect season...while it last.

DawgGoneIt
DawgGoneIt

@OH-IO Who said anything about giving up a championship? That was the guy below me. Not me. Notice the avatar difference? And the way "Dawg" is spelled? And too bad we didn't schedule Navy to kick off the season who just might beat Ohio State with Miller gone LOL!!!! Couldn't have happened to a worse program!

OH-IO
OH-IO

@DawgGoneIt Navy ended the year ranked last year. dogs? Haha! 


All those injuries to your oh so vaunted best players. 


Couldn't happen to a worse - scratch that - mediocre program.