Jeff SchultzJeff Schultz

Falcons not wowing Vegas: Are concerns real?

Comments 0
Has Falcons general manager Thomas Dimitroff done enough to plug holes? (AP photo)

Has Falcons general manager Thomas Dimitroff done enough to plug holes? (AP photo)

According to the first post-draft odds in Las Vegas the Falcons are 40-1 win the Super Bowl (via Bovada). That places them tied for only 13th overall, and maybe more significantly only tied for eighth among NFC teams.

These odds fall in line with previously released over-under win totals. The Falcons are projected to win only eight games in 2014 season (via Cantor gaming), which puts them behind New Orleans and Carolina in the NFC South, as well as Seattle, San Francisco, Green Bay, Chicago and Philadelphia in the conference. (Complete odds are listed below.)

As we know, oddsmakers set odds based on public perceptions in hopes of getting equal wagering on both sides. It’s not necessarily a direct prediction, “The Falcons will go only 8-8,” but it’s remarkable how on target Las Vegas usually is. (That’s how they can afford all of those big buildings.)

The point of me bringing this up is to pose the question: How confident are you in the Falcons? I’ll have a column later on that mostly will focus on one lingering area of concern on the team, post-free agency and post-draft.

UPDATE: Here’s a link to the MyAJC column.

Here are a few thoughts on some areas on the team:

• Offensive line: The addition of tackle Jake Matthews in the draft and guard Jon Asamoah in free agency, both likely starters, should improve pass protection and run blocking. But it’s uncertain how left tackle Sam Baker, plagued by injury problems in his career, will rebound from a knee injury. Center also remains uncertain, where Peter Konz has struggled and Joe Hawley has been a solid veteran backup.

 Defensive line: Tackles, anyone? Paul Soliai was signed in free agency. The Falcons already had Jonathan Babineaux, Corey Peters, Peria Jerry and Travian Robertson at defensive tackle. What they’re short of are quality defensive ends. They added 3-4 end Tyson Jackson. Second-round pick Ra’Shede Hageman was a nose tackle at Minnesota, but the Falcons think at 6-6, 310 pounds he can play on the end. Osi Umenyiora, Malliciah Goodman, Jonathan Massaquoi and Stansly Maponga are back. I’m just not seeing a lot sacks there.

 Outside linebackers: Kroy Biermann is coming off a torn Achilles. Sean Weatherspoon is coming off foot and knee injuries that limited him to seven largely ineffective games. Prince Shembo, a fourth-round pick from Notre Dame, could be in the mix. There are no certainties in this group.

Tight end: Tony Gonzalez is gone (really, this time). Levine Toilolo probably will start. I know there’s a lot of concern in the fan base about this position but I don’t see it as a pressing need. If the running game improves and the receivers can stay healthy, reducing the tight end role in the offense won’t be a concern. If the running game and receivers fail, the tight end won’t matter anyway.

 Running back: I like the pick of Florida State running back Devonta Freeman in the fourth round. He’s not big (5-8) but he’s physical and can be used as a receiver out of the backfield. But Steven Jackson has something to prove.

That’s all for now. I’ll have more in a column later.

How far do you see this team going?

Here are the complete Super Bowl odds”

Odds to win the 2015 Super Bowl XLIX 
Seattle Seahawks                                  6/1
Denver Broncos                                    7/1
New England Patriots                            15/2
San Francisco 49ers                              15/2
Green Bay Packers                                12/1
Chicago Bears                                      20/1
Indianapolis Colts                                  20/1
New Orleans Saints                               20/1
Philadelphia Eagles                               22/1
Carolina Panthers                                  28/1
Kansas City Chiefs                                33/1
Pittsburgh Steelers                                33/1
Arizona Cardinals                                  40/1
Atlanta Falcons                                     40/1
Baltimore Ravens                                  40/1
Cincinnati Bengals                                 40/1
Dallas Cowboys                                    40/1
Houston Texans                                    40/1
New York Giants                                   40/1
San Diego Chargers                              40/1
Cleveland Browns                                  50/1
Detroit Lions                                         50/1
Miami Dolphins                                     50/1
Minnesota Vikings                                 50/1
St. Louis Rams                                     50/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers                         50/1
Washington Redskins                            50/1
New York Jets                                       66/1
Buffalo Bills                                          75/1
Tennessee Titans                                   75/1
Jacksonville Jaguars                             100/1
Oakland Raiders                                    100/1

Here are the complete over/unders (via Cantor Gaming):

Team 2014 wins
Over 2013 wins Differential
 Broncos 11 -115 13 -2
49ers 11 +100 12 -1
Seahawks 11 -110 13 -2
Packers 10 -105 8 2
Patriots 10 -125 12 -2
Saints 9.5 -105 11 -1.5
Bengals 9 -115 11 -2
Colts 9 -115 11 -2
Steelers 9 -110 8 1
Bears 8.5 -105 8 .5
Eagles 8.5 -125 10 -1.5
Panthers 8.5 -120 12 -3.5
Ravens 8.5 -110 8 .5
Texans 8.5 -110 2 6.5
Chargers 8 -120 9 -1
Chiefs 8 -125 11 -3
Cowboys 8 -120 8 0
Falcons 8 -120 4 4
Lions 8 -115 7 1
Dolphins 7.5 -125 8 -.5
Cardinals 7 -120 10 -3
Giants 7 -110 7 0
Redskins 7 -110 3 4
Bills 6.5 -110 6 .5
Browns 6.5 -105 4 2.5
Buccaneers 6.5 -130 4 2.5
Jets 6.5 -120 8 -1.5
Rams 6.5 -120 7 -.5
Titans 6.5 -110 7 -.5
Vikings 6.5 -110 5 1.5
Raiders 5 +110 4 1
Jaguars 4.5 +100 4 .5

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 108 other followers